Even Perfect Decoder-only BCIs will have less signal and precision than motor channels (*HANDS*)

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Thesis: Even with perfect neural decoding, a read-only BCI is slower and more error-prone than motor channels (HANDS 🙌 🤝🤟 ) for tasks that demand explicit reference and commitment.

Below are few arguments for this. All of them have potential engineering workarounds but they’d mostly trade precision for mental friction giving equal or worse signal/effort ratio.

No built-in gating: Muscle control has natural “push-to-submit” affordances (press, grip force, eye movement) that idle thoughts can’t trigger. Gating is native to muscles. BCIs would have to implement this with deliberate mental mode-switching (neural codec) to avoid accidental commands leaking through.

Sample budget vs. task complexity: In a short session you’d get ~10²–10³ informative preference signals. That buys control over a low-dimensional surface, not an creator’s entire preference manifold. Treating taste as high-D without brutal priors makes estimation underdetermined.

Weak references and composition: Without external anchors (gaze, point, speech), decoded thought can’t bind variables or scope arguments as tightly as tokenized language. Directionally, studies find that homonym confusion and symbol mis-binding stay high even after lots of training.

Drift: Neural statistics drift session-to-session. Users have to retrain and use meta-loops that motor channels don’t need.

Overall, as a system, motor output gives us crisper tokens and built-in gating, where throttling/pausing come naturally and “wrong commits” are minimized.

Current input devices are a strong baseline and zero-shot decoding of highly idiosyncratic preferences via brain reading is unrealistic even with perfect hardware. Also, there is no exact shared coordinate system – alignment with external artifacts and categories is approximate at best (issue of symbol-grounding).

Read-only BCIs can give users hands-free/covert control and continuous implicit signals (error-related potentials, arousal, attention). BUT it’s still unclear how much lower level parallel pre-cursor brain signals are actually worth. My stance as of today is that our idiosyncratic, conscious choices are where 99% of the differentiator and value is. Meaning that that gives us the bulk of the “actualized” perceived output difference between person A and person B.

Provisional Metric Sketch

Initial ideas for metrics to base discussions on.

MetricDefinitionTests
Spurious activation rateCommands/hour during passive monitoring (reading, talking, daydreaming). Subject told “system is on but ignore it.” Typing/speech ~0.Gating failure. Idle thought leaking through as commands.
Referential error rate% wrong selections in 20-object cluttered array. Compare: (a) BCI alone (b) BCI + gaze (c) speech + gaze (d) mouse. Intent: “select [object]” or latent equivalent.Binding failure. Grounding mental content to external referents without tokens+pointing.
Cross-session throughput decayCorrect commands/min day-1 vs day-7, zero recalibration. User picks their speed/accuracy tradeoff. Motor drift ~0%.Drift tax. Decoder rot rate.
Constrained task timeSeconds for 10-step file task (create/rename/move/delete) at ≤5% error ceiling. BCI vs keyboard+mouse. Tasks force reference (“move that file”), composition, gating.Overall system loss. If 3× slower at matched error budget, “perfect decoding” still mogged by hands.
BibTeX Citation
@misc{strasser2025,
  author = {Strasser, Markus},
  title = {Even Perfect Decoder-only BCIs will have less signal and precision than motor channels},
  year = {2025},
  url = {https://markusstrasser.org/},
  note = {Accessed: 2025-11-12}
}